Hypo Speaks is a collection of veteran political campaigners, Ohio Statehouse insiders, consultants and writers.
Yesterday a hearing was held on the matter, and although the details are few, the Gongwer Report (no link - subscription required) has just released the following news:
Opponent group Ohio First had argued that Mr. Blackwell had illegally assumed quasi-judicial powers in a directive to election boards that allowed non-residents to circulate petitions.
After the controversy surrounding their previous poll in which the editors seemed to have written off Kerry and any possible bounce for him from the debates, the Columbus Dispatch today announced that their latest poll showed a dead heat, but with very good strength for Kerry. We present an extend quote from this survey because, for unknown reasons, it is not available online yet:
"How close is the matchup? Kerry leads by a mere eight votes of 2,880 ballots returned in the mail survey - the tighest margin ever in a final Dispatch poll.
"Kerry has surged from a 7 percentage-point deficit into a tie. And sevveral signs indicate that the Massachusettts senator has gained the momentum in Ohio. Kerry is ahead by 14 points among indepedent voters. He has a narrow lead in northwestern Ohio, the state's most reliable bellwether media market. And he has brought black voters home, gaining 91 percent support among black respondents.
The Cincinnati Enquirer has a story today (http://www.enquirer.com/midday/10/10202004_News_mday_ohiopoll20.html) on the new "Ohio Poll" conducted by the Institute for Policy Research's at the University of Cincinnati poll taken Oct. 11-17. The poll was of 757 Likely Voters:
Kerry - 48%
Bush - 46%
Other - 1%
Unknown - 5%
MoE - 3.6%
This is a big, 13-point swing from September when they showed the race to be:
Kerry - 43%
Bush - 54%
Other - 2%
Unknown - 1
MoE - 3.6%
These numbers bring Kerry back to exactly where the Ohio Poll had him in August.
Interestingly, Kerry is tied with Bush in all age groups other than 18-29 where Kerry has an enormous 14 point lead.
Kerry also has a 50-47 margin among males and a 47-46 margin among females. He also enjoys a 55-26 advantage among independent voters.
· WI-08: Wingnut plans to run as "conservative independent" (desmoinesdem)
· 50 percent of southerners say Obama better president than Bush (desmoinesdem)
· What Yesterday Says About Young Voters (Mike Connery)
· Max Blumenthal on the dysfunctional movement driving the GOP (Mike Connery)
· IA-Gov: Culver launches second tv ad (desmoinesdem)
· Hilarious Vid On Why We Must Vote No On Issue 2!! (Cliff Schecter)
· NY-23: Scozzafava Drops Out! (lipris)
· NY-23: Pataki Goes Rogue, Endorses Teabagger Darling Doug Hoffman (lipris)
· Dunne Considering Run For VT-Gov (Nathan Empsall)
· McGovern Grandson Looks to Challenge Thune in 2010 (Jonathan Singer)
· IA-03: Two potential challengers for Boswell (desmoinesdem)
· NJ-Gov: Daggett Goes After Christie and Corzine (Jonathan Singer)